METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Middleweight
VS
49%
Cedenblad
51%
Askham
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Magnus CedenbladwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Scott Askham · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Askham
→
Actual result
Cedenblad wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cedenblad at 49% vs Askham at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Askham has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Cedenblad's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CedenbladAskham
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cedenblad
Askham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
75"
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cedenblad
Askham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.8
20.7
54.2
Performance Avg
49.3
46
Quality of Victory
60
59
Momentum Score
59
Cedenblad
Askham
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.3
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
1Clinch2
2Ground2
Cedenblad
Askham
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cedenblad
Askham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Cedenblad
Askham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
59
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cedenblad
Askham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cedenblad
Askham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
CedenbladAskham
Strike Zones
Cedenblad
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedAskham
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cedenblad targets the head (83% of attacks) — Askham absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Askham targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cedenblad absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cedenblad
RND
Askham
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cedenblad · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jack MarshmanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Garreth McLellanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott AskhamDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Krzysztof JotkoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Sub · R1
Jared HammanSubmission
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
Askham · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad ScottDecision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Jack HermanssonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
W · KO · R1
Chris DempseyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio Dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06