UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Middleweight
VS
49%
Cedenblad
51%
Askham
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MC
Magnus Cedenblad
"Jycken"
14 – 5
6'5"79" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
SA
Scott Askham
14 – 4
Knockout Artist2-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'3"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Askham

This is a genuine toss-up — Cedenblad at 49% vs Askham at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Askham has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Askham throws more volume but Cedenblad connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cedenblad's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cedenblad
Askham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
75"
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cedenblad
Askham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.8
20.7
54.2
Performance Avg
49.3
46
Quality of Victory
60
59
Momentum Score
59
Cedenblad
Askham
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
1Clinch2
2Ground2
Cedenblad
Askham
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cedenblad
Askham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Cedenblad
Askham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
59
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cedenblad
Askham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cedenblad
Askham
Striking3.8 / 10.0Volume3.3 / 0.7Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.2 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Cedenblad
Strike Zones
Askham
Cedenblad
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Askham
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cedenblad targets the head (83% of attacks) — Askham absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Askham targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cedenblad absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cedenblad
RND
Askham
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cedenblad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.8L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.2W2.8L2012-042013-082014-052014-102016-052016-11
WinLossTrend

Askham · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W6.4L5.5L2014-102015-062015-102016-022016-092017-03
WinLossTrend

Cedenblad · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jack MarshmanRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Garreth McLellanRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott AskhamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Sub · R1
Jared HammanRating 5
Submission
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08

Askham · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad ScottRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
W · KO · R1
Chris DempseyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio Dos SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06

News & Media

Magnus Cedenblad · Scott Askham
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