METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Houston, USA
15 May 2021
Middleweight
VS
51%
Wright
49%
Pickett
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:04
JW
CFR 25
★ Official Result
Jordan WrightwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:04
def. Jamie Pickett · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Wright
→
Actual result
Wright wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Wright at 51% vs Pickett at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Wright has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Wright has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Wright's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pickett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WrightPickett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Wright
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
+80"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wright
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.0
24.1
38.4
Performance Avg
23.9
45
Quality of Victory
25
13
Momentum Score
45
Wright
Pickett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
0.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
2
5
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance4
12Clinch0
9Ground0
Wright
Pickett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wright
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Wright
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Wright
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wright
Pickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.7
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
WrightPickett
Strike Zones
Wright
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedPickett
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wright targets the head (81% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the head (50% of attacks) — Wright absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wright
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Wright · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Pickett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Wright · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zac PaugaRating 5.5Decision
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Jamie PickettRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
Pickett · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
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