UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Houston, USA
15 May 2021
Middleweight
VS
51%
Wright
49%
Pickett
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:04
JW
Jordan Wright
"The Beverly Hills Ninja"
12 – 5
6'2"77" reachOrthodox34 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
Jamie
Jamie Pickett
"The Night Wolf"
13 – 11
Well-Rounded5-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'2"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wright

This is a genuine toss-up — Wright at 51% vs Pickett at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Wright has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Wright has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Wright's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pickett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Wright
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
+80"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wright
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.0
24.1
38.4
Performance Avg
23.9
45
Quality of Victory
25
13
Momentum Score
45
Wright
Pickett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
2
5
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance4
12Clinch0
9Ground0
Wright
Pickett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wright
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Wright
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Wright
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wright
Pickett
Striking5.6 / 0.4Volume0.6 / 8.4Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 0.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.7
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Wright
Strike Zones
Pickett
Wright
Attacking
21HEAD5BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Pickett
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD5BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wright targets the head (81% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the head (50% of attacks) — Wright absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wright
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Wright · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.0W3.9L5.0W2.8L1.5L3.2L5.5L2020-082021-052022-042023-02
WinLossTrend

Pickett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W2.1L2.8L3.2L5.5L6.3L2020-122022-012023-032024-03
WinLossTrend

Wright · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Zac PaugaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Jamie PickettRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05

Pickett · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Josh FremdRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Sub · R1
Bo NickalRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Denis TiuliulinRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02

News & Media

Jordan Wright · Jamie Pickett
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