METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 100
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2009
Welterweight
VS
61%
Fitch
39%
Thiago
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jon FitchwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Paulo Thiago · UFC 100
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fitch
→
Actual result
Fitch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Fitch holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Thiago has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Thiago has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FitchThiago
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fitch
Thiago
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fitch
Thiago
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
13.5
52.4
Performance Avg
37.5
32
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
39
Fitch
Thiago
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
4.0
7.4
Style: Volume
5.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch2
6Ground1
Fitch
Thiago
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fitch
Thiago
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
44
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Fitch
Thiago
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fitch
Thiago
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fitch
Thiago
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
FitchThiago
Strike Zones
Fitch
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedThiago
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (86% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Thiago targets the head (67% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fitch
RND
Thiago
0/0R00/0
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