METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 100
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2009
Welterweight
VS
61%
Fitch
39%
Thiago
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jon FitchwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Paulo Thiago · UFC 100
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fitch
→
Actual result
Fitch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Fitch holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Thiago has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fitch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Thiago has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FitchThiago
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fitch
Thiago
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fitch
Thiago
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
13.5
52.4
Performance Avg
37.5
32
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
39
Fitch
Thiago
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch2
6Ground1
Fitch
Thiago
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fitch
Thiago
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
44
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Fitch
Thiago
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fitch
Thiago
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fitch
Thiago
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
FitchThiago
Strike Zones
Fitch
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedThiago
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (86% of attacks) — Thiago absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Thiago targets the head (67% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fitch
RND
Thiago
0/0R00/0
Fitch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Thiago · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
Thiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11