UFC 41: Onslaught
Atlantic City, USA
28 Feb 2003
Heavyweight
VS
39%
Matyushenko
61%
Rizzo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rizzo
Rizzo holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Matyushenko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Matyushenko has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Matyushenko's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rizzo has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Matyushenko
Rizzo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
55
Age
+52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Matyushenko
Rizzo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
21.3
47.3
Performance Avg
53.4
40
Quality of Victory
46
20
Momentum Score
91
Matyushenko
Rizzo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
2Distance6
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Matyushenko
Rizzo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Matyushenko
Rizzo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/35 fights
Chin rating based on
14/31 fights
Matyushenko
Rizzo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Matyushenko
Rizzo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matyushenko
Rizzo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
MatyushenkoRizzo
Strike Zones
Matyushenko
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedRizzo
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matyushenko targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rizzo absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Rizzo targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Matyushenko absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matyushenko
RND
Rizzo
0/0R00/0
Matyushenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Rizzo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Matyushenko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Jason BrilzRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
Alexandre FerreiraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
Rizzo · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ricco RodriguezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · R2
Tra TelligmanRating 4.2UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
L · KO · R1
Gan McGeeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
W · KO · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03