UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
22 May 2021
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Tafa
11%
Vanderaa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tafa
Tafa is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Vanderaa throws more volume but Tafa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Tafa's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vanderaa has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tafa
Vanderaa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+80"
32+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tafa
Vanderaa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.1
8.4
53.8
Performance Avg
20.7
60
Quality of Victory
25
98
Momentum Score
0
Tafa
Vanderaa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
45%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
24
21
Body
15
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
32Distance38
1Clinch5
0Ground0
Tafa
Vanderaa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tafa
Vanderaa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/12 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Tafa
Vanderaa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Tafa
Vanderaa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tafa
Vanderaa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
TafaVanderaa
Strike Zones
Tafa
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedVanderaa
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tafa targets the body (64% of attacks) — Vanderaa absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Vanderaa targets the head (56% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tafa
RND
Vanderaa
0/0R00/0
Tafa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Vanderaa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Tafa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Austen LaneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Upcoming
Austen LaneUFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Parker PorterRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Vanderaa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · KO · R3
Chase ShermanRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · KO · R2
Alexandr RomanovRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10