UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
San Jose, USA
26 Jul 2014
Featherweight
VS
55%
Siler
45%
Lahat
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SS
Steven Siler
"Super"
29 – 16
5'11"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
NL
Noad Lahat
"Neo"
11 – 2
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'9"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Siler

This is a genuine toss-up — Siler at 55% vs Lahat at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Siler has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Siler throws more volume but Lahat connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lahat has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Siler
Lahat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
70"+
Reach
69"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Siler
Lahat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
12.7
44.9
Performance Avg
35.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
36
Momentum Score
50
Siler
Lahat
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
39%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
6
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance8
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Siler
Lahat
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Siler
Lahat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/45 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Siler
Lahat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Siler
Lahat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Siler
Lahat
Striking3.1 / 1.0Volume5.9 / 9.0Grappling3.0 / 2.4Wrestling2.1 / 1.7Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Siler
Strike Zones
Lahat
Siler
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Lahat
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Siler targets the head (93% of attacks) — Lahat absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Lahat targets the head (75% of attacks) — Siler absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Siler
RND
Lahat
0/0R00/0

Siler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.0W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.5L5.5L2011-122012-112013-112014-07
WinLossTrend

Lahat · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0101.5L4.5W4.5W2.8L2014-032014-072015-062016-02
WinLossTrend

Siler · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Noad LahatRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Rony JasonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · KO · R1
Mike BrownRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04

Lahat · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Diego RivasRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Niklas BackstromRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Steven SilerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Godofredo PepeyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

News & Media

Steven Siler · Noad Lahat
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