UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
Nashville, USA
23 Mar 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
54%
Barber
46%
Aldrich
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barber
This is a genuine toss-up — Barber at 54% vs Aldrich at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barber has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Aldrich has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barber
Aldrich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
28+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Barber
Aldrich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
47.4
53.3
Performance Avg
42.5
38
Quality of Victory
28
65
Momentum Score
80
Barber
Aldrich
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.7
54%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
8
3
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance4
12Clinch4
0Ground0
Barber
Aldrich
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barber
Aldrich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/18 fights
Chin rating based on
17/22 fights
Barber
Aldrich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
80
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Barber
Aldrich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
9%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barber
Aldrich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
BarberAldrich
Strike Zones
Barber
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedAldrich
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barber targets the head (78% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Aldrich targets the head (100% of attacks) — Barber absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barber
RND
Aldrich
0/0R00/0
Barber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Aldrich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Barber · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexa GrassoRating 2.7KO/TKO
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