UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
30%
Saki
70%
Jr.
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:36
GS
Gokhan Saki
"The Rebel"
1 – 2
6'0"73" reachOrthodox42 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 23
Khalil
Khalil Rountree Jr.
15 – 7
Striker36 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'1"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jr.

Jr. is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Saki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Saki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jr. has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Saki
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Saki
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.5
53.7
56.0
Performance Avg
52.0
60
Quality of Victory
48
71
Momentum Score
77
Saki
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
9.0
1.4
58%
Strike Accuracy
42%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Saki
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saki
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/3 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Saki
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
77
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Saki
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saki
Jr.
Striking10.0 / 8.2Volume1.0 / 3.6Grappling0.0 / 0.7Wrestling0.0 / 0.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Saki
Strike Zones
Jr.
Saki
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY3LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Jr.
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY3LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saki targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the head (100% of attacks) — Saki absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saki
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Saki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0105.0W2.4L2017-092018-07
WinLossTrend

Jr. · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L2.5L5.0W5.7W5.0W2.3L5.3W1.8L5.9L6.1W5.2W5.9W5.3W6.7W5.5L5.8W5.7L2016-072018-112022-032025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Saki · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Henrique da SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09

Jr. · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Alex PereiraRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Gokhan Saki · Khalil Rountree Jr.
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