UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
20 Mar 2021
Flyweight
VS
97%
Silva
3%
Buys
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Buys has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Buys
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
36
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Buys
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
1.9
51.7
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Buys
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
29%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
6
0
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance9
0Clinch2
8Ground0
Silva
Buys
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Buys
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Silva
Buys
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Silva
Buys
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Buys
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SilvaBuys
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedBuys
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (95% of attacks) — Buys absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Buys targets the head (55% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Buys
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Buys · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
Upcoming
Edgar ChairezUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R3
HyunSung ParkRating 7.3Submission
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L · KO · R3
Joshua VanRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
Buys · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Marcus McGheeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Cody DurdenRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Bruno SilvaRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03