METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
67%
Jung
33%
Alvey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jung
Jung holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Alvey has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Jung's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
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Jung
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
32+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jung
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
22.9
48.5
Performance Avg
44.3
48
Quality of Victory
45
50
Momentum Score
43
Jung
Alvey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
6.0
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
5.5
3.0
Style: Volume
4.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
10
0
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance12
5Clinch1
4Ground1
Jung
Alvey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jung
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Jung
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Jung
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jung
Alvey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
JungAlvey
Strike Zones
Jung
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedAlvey
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jung targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (71% of attacks) — Jung absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jung
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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L · Dec · R3
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Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
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Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10