UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
67%
Jung
33%
Alvey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Da
Da Woon Jung
"Sseda"
15 – 6
6'4"78" reachOrthodox32 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
SA
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
33 – 18
Well-Rounded8-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'2"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jung

Jung holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Alvey has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Alvey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jung's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jung
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
32+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jung
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
22.9
48.5
Performance Avg
44.3
48
Quality of Victory
45
50
Momentum Score
43
Jung
Alvey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
36%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
10
0
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance12
5Clinch1
4Ground1
Jung
Alvey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jung
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Jung
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Jung
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jung
Alvey
Striking6.0 / 5.9Volume3.0 / 4.1Grappling2.6 / 1.8Wrestling1.8 / 1.2Submission2.5 / 1.0Pressure6.8 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Jung
Strike Zones
Alvey
Jung
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Alvey
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jung targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (71% of attacks) — Jung absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jung
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jung · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5W5.0W4.5W6.3W2.9L5.5L5.9L6.5L2019-082021-042022-072023-092024-09
WinLossTrend

Alvey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W1.8L5.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.4W4.5W2.8L3.0L5.5L5.9L3.3L5.5L4.1L2.5L2014-082016-072017-102020-052022-08
WinLossTrend

Jung · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Oumar SyRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11

Alvey · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon Jung
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

News & Media

Da Woon Jung · Sam Alvey
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