UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
Oakland, USA
7 Aug 2010
Heavyweight
VS
57%
Struve
43%
Morecraft
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Struve
This is a genuine toss-up — Struve at 57% vs Morecraft at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Struve has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morecraft has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Struve
Morecraft
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'6"
84"+
Reach
81"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Struve
Morecraft
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
15.3
51.7
Performance Avg
39.7
50
Quality of Victory
50
98
Momentum Score
36
Struve
Morecraft
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
26%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch1
6Ground0
Struve
Morecraft
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Morecraft
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Struve
Morecraft
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Struve
Morecraft
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Struve
Morecraft
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
StruveMorecraft
Strike Zones
Struve
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMorecraft
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the head (91% of attacks) — Morecraft absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Morecraft targets the head (100% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Struve
RND
Morecraft
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Struve · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Morecraft · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Struve · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Morecraft · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · KO · R2
Matt MitrioneRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
W · Sub · R2
Sean McCorkleRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08