UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson
Austin, USA
22 Nov 2014
Middleweight
VS
66%
Barnatt
34%
Narvaez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LB
Luke Barnatt
"The Bigslow"
13 – 4
6'6"77" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
RN
Roger Narvaez
"Silverback"
8 – 3
Well-Rounded42 yrsSouthpaw6'3"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barnatt

Barnatt holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Narvaez has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barnatt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Striking split: Barnatt throws more volume but Narvaez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Narvaez has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barnatt
Narvaez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barnatt
Narvaez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
10.7
46.9
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
82
Momentum Score
40
Barnatt
Narvaez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
15
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance7
0Clinch1
1Ground9
Barnatt
Narvaez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barnatt
Narvaez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Barnatt
Narvaez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Barnatt
Narvaez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barnatt
Narvaez
Striking4.3 / 0.7Volume3.7 / 8.7Grappling3.5 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Barnatt
Strike Zones
Narvaez
Barnatt
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Narvaez
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barnatt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Narvaez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Narvaez targets the head (88% of attacks) — Barnatt absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barnatt
RND
Narvaez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barnatt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W5.0W6.6L5.5L5.5L2013-042013-102014-032014-052014-112015-05
WinLossTrend

Narvaez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0102.8L4.5W2.8L2014-062014-112015-03
WinLossTrend

Barnatt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mark MunozRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Roger NarvaezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Mats NilssonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
W · Sub · R2
Andrew CraigRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10

Narvaez · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Elias TheodorouRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
W · Dec · R3
Luke BarnattRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Patrick CumminsRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06

News & Media

Luke Barnatt · Roger Narvaez
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