METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Catch Weight
VS
92%
Ruffy
8%
Llontop
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mauricio RuffywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. James Llontop · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ruffy
→
Actual result
Ruffy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ruffy is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 65 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ruffy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RuffyLlontop
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ruffy
Llontop
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
30
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ruffy
Llontop
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
6.0
64.5
Performance Avg
0.0
52
Quality of Victory
0
88
Momentum Score
0
Ruffy
Llontop
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.3
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
15
3
Body
22
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
20Distance31
2Clinch14
0Ground0
Ruffy
Llontop
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Ruffy
Llontop
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Ruffy
Llontop
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Ruffy
Llontop
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ruffy
Llontop
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RuffyLlontop
Strike Zones
Ruffy
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedLlontop
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ruffy targets the head (86% of attacks) — Llontop absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Llontop targets the body (49% of attacks) — Ruffy absorbs 49% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ruffy
RND
Llontop
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ruffy · Last 5
Upcoming
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