UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2017
Lightweight
VS
51%
Duffy
49%
Madadi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JD
Joe Duffy
"Irish"
16 – 5
5'10"73" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
RM
Reza Madadi
"Mad Dog"
14 – 6
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Duffy

This is a genuine toss-up — Duffy at 51% vs Madadi at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Duffy throws more volume but Madadi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Duffy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Duffy
Madadi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
73"
Reach
73"
38+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duffy
Madadi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
21.0
49.0
Performance Avg
46.0
48
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
78
Duffy
Madadi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
36%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
12
4
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance14
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Duffy
Madadi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duffy
Madadi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Duffy
Madadi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Duffy
Madadi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duffy
Madadi
Striking3.5 / 4.2Volume3.0 / 0.9Grappling4.6 / 5.3Wrestling3.2 / 3.7Submission5.0 / 6.7Pressure6.8 / 8.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
Duffy
Strike Zones
Madadi
Duffy
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Madadi
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Duffy targets the head (71% of attacks) — Madadi absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Madadi targets the head (71% of attacks) — Duffy absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duffy
RND
Madadi
0/0R00/0

Duffy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W6.8L5.0W4.5W2.8L5.6L2.8L2015-032016-012017-032019-032020-07
WinLossTrend

Madadi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.2W5.5L5.6W5.5L5.5W5.5L6.1L2012-042013-042016-052017-05
WinLossTrend

Duffy · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
James VickRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Mitch ClarkeRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07

Madadi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Joe DuffyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · KO · R3
Yan CabralRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Sub · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04

News & Media

Joe Duffy · Reza Madadi
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