METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Las Vegas, USA
12 Aug 2023
Middleweight
VS
54%
Dobson
46%
Nchukwi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
AJ DobsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tafon Nchukwi · UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dobson
→
Actual result
Dobson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dobson at 54% vs Nchukwi at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nchukwi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nchukwi has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DobsonNchukwi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dobson
Nchukwi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
+77"
34
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dobson
Nchukwi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.0
20.4
25.0
Performance Avg
28.3
25
Quality of Victory
25
22
Momentum Score
25
Dobson
Nchukwi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
58%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Dobson
Nchukwi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dobson
Nchukwi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
52
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
6/10 fights
Dobson
Nchukwi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
25
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dobson
Nchukwi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dobson
Nchukwi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
DobsonNchukwi
Strike Zones
Dobson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNchukwi
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dobson targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Nchukwi absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Nchukwi targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Dobson absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dobson
RND
Nchukwi
0/0R00/0
Dobson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Nchukwi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dobson · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Tafon NchukwiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
Nchukwi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05