METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
Las Vegas, USA
24 Aug 2024
Lightweight
VS
46%
Buzukja
54%
Marshall
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Francis MarshallwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dennis Buzukja · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Marshall
→
Actual result
Marshall wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Buzukja at 46% vs Marshall at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Buzukja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Buzukja's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BuzukjaMarshall
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buzukja
Marshall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+72"
28
Age
+27
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Buzukja
Marshall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
51.0
36.7
Performance Avg
46.7
50
Quality of Victory
40
39
Momentum Score
60
Buzukja
Marshall
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
5.2
0.3
Style: Volume
5.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
26
7
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
29Distance26
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Buzukja
Marshall
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buzukja
Marshall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Buzukja
Marshall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
60
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Buzukja
Marshall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buzukja
Marshall
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
BuzukjaMarshall
Strike Zones
Buzukja
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedMarshall
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buzukja targets the head (73% of attacks) — Marshall absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Marshall targets the head (93% of attacks) — Buzukja absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buzukja
RND
Marshall
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Buzukja · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GradSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Marcio BarbosaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis MarshallDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R3
Connor MatthewsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Marshall · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Lucas BrennanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Erik SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Mairon SantosDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Dennis BuzukjaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Isaac DulgarianKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08