UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
Las Vegas, USA
24 Aug 2024
Lightweight
VS
47%
Buzukja
53%
Marshall
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Dennis
Dennis Buzukja
"The Great"
12 – 6
5'9"70" reachSwitch28 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 45
Francis
Francis Marshall
"Fire"
10 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak27 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Marshall

This is a genuine toss-up — Buzukja at 47% vs Marshall at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Buzukja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Buzukja has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Buzukja's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Buzukja
Marshall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+72"
28
Age
+27
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Buzukja
Marshall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
51.0
38.0
Performance Avg
46.7
50
Quality of Victory
40
39
Momentum Score
60
Buzukja
Marshall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
32%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
26
7
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
29Distance26
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Buzukja
Marshall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buzukja
Marshall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Buzukja
Marshall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Buzukja
Marshall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Buzukja
Marshall
Striking10.0 / 3.6Volume0.4 / 5.1Grappling0.0 / 3.2Wrestling0.0 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure7.6 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Buzukja
Strike Zones
Marshall
Buzukja
Attacking
22HEAD7BODY1LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD1BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Marshall
Attacking
26HEAD1BODY1LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD7BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Buzukja targets the head (73% of attacks) — Marshall absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Marshall targets the head (93% of attacks) — Buzukja absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Buzukja
RND
Marshall
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Buzukja · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.6L2.0L5.5W6.3L3.9L2023-082023-112024-032024-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Marshall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.2W6.5L2.8L5.0W7.5L5.0W4.5W2022-122023-082025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Buzukja · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marcio BarbosaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis MarshallRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R3
Connor MatthewsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

Marshall · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Lucas BrennanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Erik SilvaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Mairon SantosRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Dennis BuzukjaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Isaac DulgarianRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Dennis Buzukja · Francis Marshall
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