UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Welterweight
VS
50%
Musoke
50%
Yakovlev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NM
Nicholas Musoke
"Nico"
13 – 5
6'0"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
AY
Alexander Yakovlev
"Russian Thunder"
24 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'3"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Musoke

This is a genuine toss-up — Musoke at 50% vs Yakovlev at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Yakovlev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Musoke throws more volume but Yakovlev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Yakovlev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Musoke
Yakovlev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
74"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Musoke
Yakovlev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
15.4
40.8
Performance Avg
40.2
35
Quality of Victory
45
53
Momentum Score
36
Musoke
Yakovlev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
33%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
14
4
Body
4
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance21
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Musoke
Yakovlev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Musoke
Yakovlev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
68
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
9/34 fights
Musoke
Yakovlev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Musoke
Yakovlev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Musoke
Yakovlev
Striking1.0 / 4.0Volume6.3 / 3.3Grappling4.3 / 3.5Wrestling3.0 / 2.4Submission3.3 / 3.3Pressure3.8 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Musoke
Strike Zones
Yakovlev
Musoke
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY3LEGS21 absorbed
Yakovlev
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY3LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Musoke targets the head (73% of attacks) — Yakovlev absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Yakovlev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Musoke absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Musoke
RND
Yakovlev
0/0R00/0

Musoke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.5W5.8L4.5W5.5L4.0L2013-102014-022014-062014-102015-012017-05
WinLossTrend

Yakovlev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W6.6L3.1L5.2W5.7L2.8L2014-052016-012019-042020-10
WinLossTrend

Musoke · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Bojan VelickovicRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Viscardi AndradeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02

Yakovlev · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Alex Da SilvaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Zak CummingsRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07

News & Media

Nicholas Musoke · Alexander Yakovlev
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