Roman Dolidze vs Christian Leroy Duncan — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy

London, United Kingdom

21 Mar 2026

Middleweight

49%

Dolidze

51%

Duncan

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Roman Dolidze

15 – 5

6'2"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideStriker

CFR 61

Christian Leroy Duncan

"CLD"

14 – 2

Striker5-fight win streak31 yrsSwitch79" reach6'2"

CFR 63

★ Official Result

Christian Leroy DuncanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Roman Dolidze · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Duncan

→

Actual result

Duncan wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Dolidze at 49% vs Duncan at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Dolidze's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

DolidzeDuncan

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Dolidze

Duncan

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"

Height

6'2"

76"

Reach

+79"

Age

+31

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

Dolidze

Duncan

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

60.6

63.4

50.3

Performance Avg

59.0

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Dolidze

Duncan

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.8

/ 10

7.8

/ 10

5.7

Style: Pressure

6.8

4.8

Style: Volume

4.6

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance18

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Dolidze

Duncan

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.1

/ 10

0.9

/ 10

0.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.6

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Dolidze

Duncan

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

15/20 fights

Chin rating based on

11/16 fights

Dolidze

Duncan

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

5-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R4

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

Dolidze

Duncan

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

56%

63%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dolidze

Duncan

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.8

1.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.9

0.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.6

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.8

4.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.6

Dolidze

Strike Zones

Duncan

Dolidze

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

18 absorbed

Duncan

Attacking

18 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Dolidze targets the head (67% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Duncan targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Dolidze absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dolidze

RND

Duncan

0/0R00/0

Dolidze · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Reinier de Ridder

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08

L · Dec · R3

Christian Leroy Duncan

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

L · Sub · R4

Anthony Hernandez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

W · Dec · R5

Marvin Vettori

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

W · KO · R1

Kevin Holland

KO/TKO

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

Duncan · Last 5

Upcoming

Brendan Allen

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Jared Cannonier

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07

W · Dec · R3

Roman Dolidze

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

W · KO · R2

Marco Tulio

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Eryk Anders

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

News & Media

Roman Dolidze · Christian Leroy Duncan

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