METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
74%
Suarez
26%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tatiana
Tatiana Suarez
131
5'5"66" reachSouthpaw35 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 73
NN
Nina Nunes
117
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"
CFR 26
★ Official Result
Tatiana SuarezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nina Nunes · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Suarez
Actual result
Suarez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Suarez is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Suarez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Striking split: Nunes throws more volume but Suarez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SuarezNunes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Suarez
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
64"
35+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Suarez
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.7
25.7
64.5
Performance Avg
39.6
48
Quality of Victory
29
100
Momentum Score
70
Suarez
Nunes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.7
59%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
19
9
Body
10
17
Leg
1
RangeRange
29Distance29
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Suarez
Nunes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Suarez
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Strikes absorbed / min
10/14 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Suarez
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
70
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Suarez
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Suarez
Nunes
Striking2.9 / 1.1Volume4.5 / 7.5Grappling5.2 / 3.5Wrestling3.7 / 2.5Submission5.6 / 2.0Pressure7.4 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Suarez
Strike Zones
Nunes
Suarez
Attacking
7HEAD9BODY17LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD10BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Nunes
Attacking
19HEAD10BODY1LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD9BODY17LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Suarez targets the legs (52% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (63% of attacks) — Suarez absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Suarez
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0

Suarez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W6.2W5.8W4.5W6.3W6.0W7.3L5.6W5.7W2016-072018-092023-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.5L5.5W4.6W4.5W4.5W7.4L2.7L4.5W2014-112017-112019-062022-08
WinLossTrend

Suarez · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Loopy GodinezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jessica AndradeRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Montana De La RosaRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

Nunes · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Cynthia CalvilloRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Claudia GadelhaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07

News & Media

Tatiana Suarez · Nina Nunes
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