UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Dallas, USA
13 May 2017
Lightweight
VS
51%
Vick
49%
Reyes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:39
JV
James Vick
"The Texecutioner"
13 – 5
6'3"76" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MP
Marco Polo Reyes
8 – 7
Striker3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vick

This is a genuine toss-up — Vick at 51% vs Reyes at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Reyes throws more volume but Vick connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Vick's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reyes has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Vick
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
71"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vick
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
16.8
50.2
Performance Avg
49.2
41
Quality of Victory
49
71
Momentum Score
50
Vick
Reyes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
35%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
3
5
Body
6
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
13Distance12
1Clinch4
6Ground0
Vick
Reyes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vick
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/18 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Vick
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
50
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Vick
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vick
Reyes
Striking3.5 / 8.5Volume4.8 / 3.0Grappling3.7 / 0.6Wrestling2.6 / 0.4Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Vick
Strike Zones
Reyes
Vick
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD6BODY7LEGS16 absorbed
Reyes
Attacking
3HEAD6BODY7LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vick targets the head (70% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Vick absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vick
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.5W4.5W6.0W4.5W2.5L5.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W3.1L5.5L2.4L2.2L2013-082016-042017-112019-072019-10
WinLossTrend

Reyes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0105.0W5.5W4.5W1.5L5.2W2.8L2.7L1.6L2015-112016-112018-012019-062019-09
WinLossTrend

Vick · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Dan HookerRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Justin GaethjeRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

Reyes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Damir HadzovicRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Matt FrevolaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · KO · R1
James VickRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05

News & Media

James Vick · Marco Polo Reyes
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