UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Welterweight
VS
8%
Diamond
92%
Radtke
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Radtke
Radtke is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Radtke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Striking split: Radtke throws more volume but Diamond connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Radtke has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Diamond
Radtke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
72"
37
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Diamond
Radtke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
5.0
59.6
0.0
Performance Avg
54.4
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
84
Diamond
Radtke
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
62%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
9
9
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance7
16Clinch4
0Ground0
Diamond
Radtke
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diamond
Radtke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/6 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Diamond
Radtke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Diamond
Radtke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diamond
Radtke
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
DiamondRadtke
Strike Zones
Diamond
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedRadtke
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diamond targets the head (56% of attacks) — Radtke absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Radtke targets the head (82% of attacks) — Diamond absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diamond
RND
Radtke
0/0R00/0
Diamond · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Radtke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Diamond · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Charles RadtkeRating 6.7Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Orion CosceRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
Radtke · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
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W · Sub · R3
Daniel FrunzaRating 5.5Submission
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L · KO · R2
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W · KO · R1
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 5.5KO/TKO
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