UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson
Austin, USA
22 Nov 2014
Lightweight
VS
52%
Edwards
48%
Arreola
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:52
YE
Yves Edwards
42 – 22
5'9"73" reachSouthpaw49 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
AA
Akbarh Arreola
"El Caballero"
23 – 11
Submission Hunter2-fight slide43 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Edwards

This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 52% vs Arreola at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Edwards's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edwards
Arreola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
49
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Edwards
Arreola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
17.7
47.6
Performance Avg
42.4
46
Quality of Victory
54
85
Momentum Score
36
Edwards
Arreola
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
0
Body
2
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance7
1Clinch2
0Ground3
Edwards
Arreola
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Arreola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/64 fights
Chin rating based on
4/34 fights
Edwards
Arreola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
36
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Edwards
Arreola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edwards
Arreola
Striking6.0 / 0.5Volume3.4 / 0.5Grappling2.3 / 8.0Wrestling1.6 / 5.6Submission2.0 / 10.0Pressure6.4 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Edwards
Strike Zones
Arreola
Edwards
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Arreola
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Arreola absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Arreola targets the head (67% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edwards
RND
Arreola
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W2.8L4.8L4.5W5.2W1.5L5.2W6.0L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.0L1.5L2001-092003-112010-092012-122014-11
WinLossTrend

Arreola · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.8L2014-072014-112015-032015-11
WinLossTrend

Edwards · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy Medeiros
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02

Arreola · Last 4

L · R2
Jake MatthewsRating 5.8
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
W · Sub · R1
Yves EdwardsRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07

News & Media

Yves Edwards · Akbarh Arreola
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