METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson
Austin, USA
22 Nov 2014
Lightweight
VS
52%
Edwards
48%
Arreola
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:52
AA
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Akbarh ArreolawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:52
def. Yves Edwards · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Edwards
→
Actual result
Arreola wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 52% vs Arreola at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsArreola
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Edwards
Arreola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
49
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Edwards
Arreola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
17.7
47.6
Performance Avg
42.4
46
Quality of Victory
54
85
Momentum Score
36
Edwards
Arreola
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
7.8
3.4
Style: Volume
0.5
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
0
Body
2
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance7
1Clinch2
0Ground3
Edwards
Arreola
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Arreola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/64 fights
Chin rating based on
4/34 fights
Edwards
Arreola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
36
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Edwards
Arreola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Arreola
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
EdwardsArreola
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedArreola
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Arreola absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Arreola targets the head (67% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Arreola
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy MedeirosUFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggDecision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
Arreola · Last 4
L · R2
Jake MatthewsUFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
W · Sub · R1
Yves EdwardsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaDecision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07