UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson
London, United Kingdom
21 Feb 2009
Lightweight
VS
39%
Sanchez
61%
Stevenson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stevenson
Stevenson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Sanchez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Stevenson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Sanchez throws more volume but Stevenson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stevenson has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sanchez
Stevenson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Stevenson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
19.6
46.0
Performance Avg
49.2
37
Quality of Victory
49
20
Momentum Score
86
Sanchez
Stevenson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
17
4
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance19
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Sanchez
Stevenson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Stevenson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
44
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/44 fights
Chin rating based on
16/49 fights
Sanchez
Stevenson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
86
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Sanchez
Stevenson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
32%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
3
13
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Stevenson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
SanchezStevenson
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedStevenson
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (83% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Stevenson targets the head (81% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Stevenson
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Stevenson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
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W · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Stevenson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10