METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Lightweight
VS
12%
Brooks
88%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:30
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Charles OliveirawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:30
def. Will Brooks · UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Brooks's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrooksOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brooks
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brooks
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.4
63.3
25.0
Performance Avg
58.6
25
Quality of Victory
51
17
Momentum Score
100
Brooks
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
8.0
8.5
Style: Volume
2.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
2
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Brooks
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.8
0
Submission wins
17
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brooks
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Brooks
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Brooks
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
84%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
17
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brooks
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
BrooksOliveira
Strike Zones
Brooks
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brooks targets the body (50% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Brooks absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brooks
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Brooks · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Nik LentzSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraSubmission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04