UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Lightweight
VS
12%
Brooks
88%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:30
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oliveira
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Brooks has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brooks's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brooks
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brooks
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.4
63.3
25.0
Performance Avg
58.6
25
Quality of Victory
51
17
Momentum Score
100
Brooks
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
2
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Brooks
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brooks
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Brooks
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Brooks
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
84%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
17
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brooks
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
BrooksOliveira
Strike Zones
Brooks
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brooks targets the body (50% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Brooks absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brooks
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Brooks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Brooks · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04