UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Saint Petersburg, Russia
20 Apr 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
23%
Antigulov
77%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oleksiejczuk
Oleksiejczuk is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Oleksiejczuk throws more volume but Antigulov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Antigulov's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Antigulov
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Antigulov
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
54.6
45.7
Performance Avg
55.3
54
Quality of Victory
53
33
Momentum Score
52
Antigulov
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
8
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch1
0Ground4
Antigulov
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Antigulov
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
36
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Antigulov
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Antigulov
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
8
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Antigulov
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
AntigulovOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Antigulov
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Antigulov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (100% of attacks) — Antigulov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Antigulov
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0
Antigulov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Antigulov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Maxim GrishinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul CraigRating 2.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Sub · R1
Joachim ChristensenRating 5Submission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
Upcoming
Abus MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
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