UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos
Tulsa, USA
23 Aug 2014
Catch Weight
VS
85%
Holloway
15%
Collard
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Holloway
Holloway is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holloway
Collard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
69"
Reach
+73"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Collard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
10.1
56.8
Performance Avg
25.0
47
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
33
Holloway
Collard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
28%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
10 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
3
3
Body
1
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
6Distance8
2Clinch0
39Ground1
Holloway
Collard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Collard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Holloway
Collard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Holloway
Collard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
52%
0%
10
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Collard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
HollowayCollard
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedCollard
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (94% of attacks) — Collard absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Collard targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Collard
0/0R00/0
Holloway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Collard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Holloway · Last 5
Upcoming
Conor McGregorUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Collard · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08