METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos
Tulsa, USA
23 Aug 2014
Catch Weight
VS
85%
Holloway
15%
Collard
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:47
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:47
def. Clay Collard · UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holloway is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowayCollard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Collard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
69"
Reach
+73"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Collard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.9
10.1
57.7
Performance Avg
25.0
48
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
33
Holloway
Collard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
0.8
4.8
Style: Volume
8.5
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
3
3
Body
1
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
6Distance8
2Clinch0
39Ground1
Holloway
Collard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Collard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Holloway
Collard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Holloway
Collard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
0%
11
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Collard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
HollowayCollard
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedCollard
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (94% of attacks) — Collard absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Collard targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Collard
0/0R00/0
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Collard · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaDecision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BenitezDecision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteDecision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · KO · R3
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08