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UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Featherweight
VS
63%
Rodriguez
37%
Caceres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 Β· 5:00
Yair
Yair Rodriguez
"El Pantera"
21 – 6
5'11"71" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 66
Alex
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
21 – 15
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 40
β˜… Official Result
Yair RodriguezwinsDecisionR5 Β· 5:00
def. Alex Caceres Β· UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
β†’
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision Β· R5
Pre-fight analysis

Rodriguez holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings β€” but Caceres has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 18 points.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Caceres has a chin rating of 4 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezCaceres
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Rodriguez
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rodriguez
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.4
39.7
60.2
Performance Avg
42.2
51
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
76
Rodriguez
Caceres
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
3.8
5.8
Style: Volume
6.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
16
1
Body
5
9
Leg
1
RangeRange
28Distance20
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Caceres
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
4
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Rodriguez
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
76
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Rodriguez
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
31%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Caceres
Striking5.1 / 1.7Volume5.8 / 6.1Grappling2.0 / 3.5Wrestling1.4 / 2.5Submission0.9 / 2.5Pressure5.4 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Caceres
Rodriguez
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY9LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD5BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Caceres
Attacking
16HEAD5BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY9LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (66% of attacks) β€” Caceres absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the head (73% of attacks) β€” Rodriguez absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R3
Patricio Pitbull
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes Β· 2025-04
L Β· Sub Β· R3
Brian Ortega
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 Β· 2024-02
L Β· KO Β· R3
Alexander Volkanovski
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez Β· 2023-07
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Josh Emmett
Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski Β· 2023-02
W Β· KO Β· R1
Brian Ortega
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez Β· 2022-07

Caceres Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Sean Woodson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento Β· 2024-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Giga Chikadze
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie Β· 2023-08
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel Pineda
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi Β· 2023-06
W Β· KO Β· R1
Julian Erosa
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland Β· 2022-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Sodiq Yusuff
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev Β· 2022-03

News & Media

Yair Rodriguez Β· Alex Caceres
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