UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Featherweight
VS
63%
Rodriguez
37%
Caceres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
Rodriguez holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Caceres has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rodriguez
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rodriguez
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.4
39.7
60.2
Performance Avg
42.2
51
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
76
Rodriguez
Caceres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
16
1
Body
5
9
Leg
1
RangeRange
28Distance20
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Caceres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
4
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Rodriguez
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
76
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
31%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Caceres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
RodriguezCaceres
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedCaceres
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (66% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the head (73% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 4.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettRating 5.2Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03