METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2016
Lightweight
VS
72%
Koch
28%
Campbell
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:02
★ Official Result
Erik KochwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:02
def. Shane Campbell · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Koch
→
Actual result
Koch wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Koch is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Koch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Koch's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Campbell has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KochCampbell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Koch
Campbell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
71"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Koch
Campbell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
7.5
46.3
Performance Avg
23.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
84
Momentum Score
15
Koch
Campbell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
0.6
4.2
Style: Volume
8.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Koch
Campbell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Koch
Campbell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/20 fights
Koch
Campbell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
15
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Koch
Campbell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koch
Campbell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
KochCampbell
Strike Zones
Koch
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCampbell
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Campbell absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Campbell targets the head (100% of attacks) — Koch absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koch
RND
Campbell
0/0R00/0
Koch · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyle StewartDecision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Shane CampbellSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Daron CruickshankKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
Campbell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Felipe SilvaKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · Sub · R2
Erik KochSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Elias SilverioDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
John MakdessiKO/TKO
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04