METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2016
Lightweight
VS
72%
Koch
28%
Campbell
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:02
★ Official Result
Erik KochwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:02
def. Shane Campbell · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Koch
→
Actual result
Koch wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Koch is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Koch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Campbell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Koch's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Campbell has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KochCampbell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Koch
Campbell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
71"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Koch
Campbell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
7.5
46.3
Performance Avg
23.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
84
Momentum Score
15
Koch
Campbell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
2.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Koch
Campbell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Koch
Campbell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/20 fights
Koch
Campbell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
15
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Koch
Campbell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koch
Campbell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
KochCampbell
Strike Zones
Koch
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCampbell
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Campbell absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Campbell targets the head (100% of attacks) — Koch absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koch
RND
Campbell
0/0R00/0
Koch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Campbell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Koch · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyle StewartRating 4.5Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Shane CampbellRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Daron CruickshankRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
Campbell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Felipe SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · Sub · R2
Erik KochRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Elias SilverioRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
John MakdessiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04