UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
11 Nov 2023
Catch Weight
VS
49%
Castaneda
51%
Kang
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
John
John Castaneda
"Sexi Mexi"
21 – 8
5'6"71" reachSwitch34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Kyung
Kyung Ho Kang
"Mr. Perfect"
19 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'9"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kang

This is a genuine toss-up — Castaneda at 49% vs Kang at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Castaneda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Castaneda
Kang
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
71"
Reach
+73"
34+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Castaneda
Kang
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
53.8
43.2
Performance Avg
47.6
39
Quality of Victory
38
71
Momentum Score
96
Castaneda
Kang
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
29
10
Body
6
10
Leg
5
RangeRange
39Distance36
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Castaneda
Kang
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Castaneda
Kang
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
90
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/29 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Castaneda
Kang
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
96
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Castaneda
Kang
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Castaneda
Kang
Striking3.5 / 1.2Volume5.0 / 5.2Grappling3.2 / 5.2Wrestling2.2 / 3.6Submission2.5 / 5.0Pressure5.0 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
Castaneda
Strike Zones
Kang
Castaneda
Attacking
20HEAD10BODY10LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD6BODY5LEGS40 absorbed
Kang
Attacking
29HEAD6BODY5LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD10BODY10LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Castaneda targets the head (50% of attacks) — Kang absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Kang targets the head (73% of attacks) — Castaneda absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Castaneda
RND
Kang
0/0R00/0

Castaneda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.3L5.0W5.5W3.8L4.5W5.4W6.8L6.0L2020-072022-022023-062024-062025-04
WinLossTrend

Kang · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W5.6L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.9L5.1W5.8W6.3L5.5L2013-082018-082021-112024-06
WinLossTrend

Castaneda · Last 5

Upcoming
Mark Vologdin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

Kang · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · Sub · R1
Cristian QuinonezRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Batgerel DanaaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11

News & Media

John Castaneda · Kyung Ho Kang
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