METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jan 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
73%
Jones
27%
Cormier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jon JoneswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Daniel Cormier · UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jones
→
Actual result
Jones wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Jones is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JonesCormier
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jones
Cormier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
84"+
Reach
72"
39+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
Cormier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
25.9
74.6
Performance Avg
68.1
61
Quality of Victory
61
100
Momentum Score
100
Jones
Cormier
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
6.8
5.5
Style: Volume
4.5
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
5
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
9Clinch3
0Ground0
Jones
Cormier
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.6
6
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Cormier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Jones
Cormier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Jones
Cormier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
64%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
Cormier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
JonesCormier
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedCormier
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (45% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Cormier targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
Cormier
0/0R00/0
Jones · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicKO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneSubmission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesDecision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosDecision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithDecision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
Cormier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicDecision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicKO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisSubmission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicKO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirKO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01