★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jan 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
73%
Jones
27%
Cormier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Jon
Jon Jones
"Bones"
28 – 1
6'4"84" reachOrthodox38 yrs19-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 71
DC
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
22 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 26

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jones

Jones is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Cormier throws more volume but Jones connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Jones
Cormier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
84"+
Reach
72"
38+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
Cormier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
25.9
74.6
Performance Avg
68.1
61
Quality of Victory
61
100
Momentum Score
100
Jones
Cormier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
58%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
5
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
9Clinch3
0Ground0
Jones
Cormier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.6
6
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Cormier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Jones
Cormier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Jones
Cormier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
64%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jones
Cormier
Striking4.6 / 4.3Volume5.5 / 4.5Grappling3.3 / 3.8Wrestling2.3 / 2.6Submission2.7 / 3.6Pressure6.7 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Jones
Strike Zones
Cormier
Jones
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Cormier
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (45% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Cormier targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jones
RND
Cormier
0/0R00/0

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.1W4.5W5.4W5.0W4.5W4.9W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.7W4.5W5.5W6.8W6.3W2008-082011-022013-042019-032024-11
WinLossTrend

Cormier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W7.3L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.1W5.9W6.1W6.3W4.4L6.6L2013-042015-012017-042019-082020-08
WinLossTrend

Jones · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03

Cormier · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01

News & Media

Jon Jones · Daniel Cormier
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