Brian Kelleher vs Marlon Vera — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum

Uniondale, USA

22 Jul 2017

Bantamweight

44%

Kelleher

56%

Vera

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 2:18

Brian Kelleher

"Boom"

24 – 16

5'6"66" reachSwitch40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 41

Marlon Vera

"Chito"

23 – 12

Well-Rounded4-fight slide33 yrsSwitch70" reach5'8"

CFR 51

★ Official Result

Marlon VerawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:18

def. Brian Kelleher · UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Vera

→

Actual result

Vera wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Kelleher at 44% vs Vera at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Kelleher's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

KelleherVera

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Kelleher

Vera

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"

Height

+5'8"

66"

Reach

+70"

Age

+33

Switch

Stance

Switch

Kelleher

Vera

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

40.8

51.4

44.5

Performance Avg

50.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Kelleher

Vera

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.4

/ 10

5.8

/ 10

5.8

Style: Pressure

6.9

3.9

Style: Volume

3.3

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

7 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

5Distance4

3Clinch1

0Ground0

Kelleher

Vera

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.9

/ 10

2.8

/ 10

2.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.9

3.8

Submission Style (/10)

2.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Kelleher

Vera

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

17/40 fights

Chin rating based on

27/35 fights

Kelleher

Vera

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

L · Sub · R1

L · KO · R1

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

Kelleher

Vera

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

63%

73%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kelleher

Vera

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.8

3.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.8

2.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.9

3.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.7

5.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.9

3.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.3

Kelleher

Strike Zones

Vera

Kelleher

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Vera

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Kelleher targets the body (38% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 38% of strikes there

🎯Vera targets the head (40% of attacks) — Kelleher absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kelleher

RND

Vera

0/0R00/0

Kelleher · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Cody Gibson

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07

L · KO · R1

Cody Garbrandt

KO/TKO

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

L · Sub · R1

Mario Bautista

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06

L · Sub · R1

Umar Nurmagomedov

Submission

UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03

W · Dec · R3

Kevin Croom

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

Vera · Last 5

Upcoming

Charles Jourdain

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

L · Dec · R3

David Martinez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

Aiemann Zahabi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10

L · Dec · R3

Deiveson Figueiredo

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

L · Dec · R5

Sean O'Malley

Decision

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Brian Kelleher · Marlon Vera

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