UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2020
Welterweight
VS
75%
Chimaev
25%
McKee
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Chimaev
Chimaev is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chimaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: McKee throws more volume but Chimaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
McKee has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Chimaev
McKee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
+78"
32
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chimaev
McKee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.2
24.5
65.1
Performance Avg
24.7
49
Quality of Victory
30
100
Momentum Score
20
Chimaev
McKee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
40
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
40Ground0
Chimaev
McKee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chimaev
McKee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/21 fights
Chimaev
McKee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Chimaev
McKee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chimaev
McKee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
ChimaevMcKee
Strike Zones
Chimaev
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMcKee
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chimaev targets the head (100% of attacks) — McKee absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chimaev
RND
McKee
0/0R00/0
Chimaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
McKee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Chimaev · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 6.4Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Robert WhittakerRating 5.9Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
McKee · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Axel SolaRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · R1
Daniel FrunzaRating 4UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11