METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Phoenix, USA
15 Jan 2017
Featherweight
VS
75%
Rodriguez
25%
Penn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:24
★ Official Result
Yair RodriguezwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:24
def. BJ Penn · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Penn connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Penn has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezPenn
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rodriguez
Penn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
33+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Penn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.4
22.2
60.2
Performance Avg
56.9
51
Quality of Victory
63
100
Momentum Score
100
Rodriguez
Penn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Rodriguez
Penn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Penn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
27/30 fights
Rodriguez
Penn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Rodriguez
Penn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
83%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Penn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.6
RodriguezPenn
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedPenn
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Penn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Penn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 4.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettRating 5.2Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
Penn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07