★ Championship Bout · Interim Heavyweight
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
Newark, USA
27 Mar 2010
Interim Heavyweight
VS
46%
Mir
54%
Carwin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:48
FM
Frank Mir
18 – 11
6'3"79" reachSouthpaw47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
SC
Shane Carwin
"The Engineer"
12 – 2
Knockout Artist2-fight slide51 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'2"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Carwin

This is a genuine toss-up — Mir at 46% vs Carwin at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Carwin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Carwin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mir's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mir
Carwin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
79"
Reach
+80"
47+
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mir
Carwin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
25.1
57.4
Performance Avg
68.7
56
Quality of Victory
70
88
Momentum Score
65
Mir
Carwin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
31
1
Body
1
0
Leg
17
RangeRange
2Distance1
1Clinch33
0Ground15
Mir
Carwin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mir
Carwin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
8
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/29 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Mir
Carwin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Mir
Carwin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
81%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
8
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mir
Carwin
Striking4.3 / 10.0Volume2.2 / 1.3Grappling4.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 9.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
Mir
Strike Zones
Carwin
Mir
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD1BODY17LEGS49 absorbed
Carwin
Attacking
31HEAD1BODY17LEGS49 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mir targets the head (67% of attacks) — Carwin absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Carwin targets the head (63% of attacks) — Mir absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mir
RND
Carwin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Mir · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.0W5.2W5.0W1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.1W2.1L5.0W1.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W2.1L5.5L1.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W6.2L1.5L2001-112006-022009-122013-082016-03
WinLossTrend

Carwin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.1L5.5L2008-052008-102009-032010-032010-072011-06
WinLossTrend

Mir · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

Carwin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Junior Dos SantosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Sub · R2
Brock LesnarRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · KO · R1
Neil WainRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10

News & Media

Frank Mir · Shane Carwin
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