UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2022
Middleweight
VS
33%
Tavares
67%
Plessis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Plessis
Plessis holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Tavares has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Plessis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Plessis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tavares
Plessis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+76"
38
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Tavares
Plessis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
73.5
40.1
Performance Avg
65.6
29
Quality of Victory
49
49
Momentum Score
100
Tavares
Plessis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
41
9
Body
10
2
Leg
9
RangeRange
35Distance55
4Clinch5
0Ground0
Tavares
Plessis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Plessis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/34 fights
Chin rating based on
10/26 fights
Tavares
Plessis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Tavares
Plessis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
14
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Plessis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
TavaresPlessis
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
60 absorbedPlessis
Attacking
60 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (72% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Plessis targets the head (68% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Plessis
0/0R00/0
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Plessis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Tavares · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Plessis · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.8Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07