UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
82%
Munoz
18%
Deaton
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AM
Alexander Munoz
7 – 2
5'9"72" reachSwitch36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 24
CD
Carl Deaton
"The Anishinaabe Kid"
17 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Munoz

Munoz is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Munoz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Munoz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Munoz
Deaton
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
69"
36
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Munoz
Deaton
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.3
5.2
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Munoz
Deaton
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.3
38%
Strike Accuracy
25%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
1Clinch0
15Ground0
Munoz
Deaton
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Munoz
Deaton
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
2/24 fights
Munoz
Deaton
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Munoz
Deaton
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Munoz
Deaton
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume8.7 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Munoz
Strike Zones
Deaton
Munoz
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Deaton
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Munoz targets the head (89% of attacks) — Deaton absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Deaton targets the head (60% of attacks) — Munoz absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Munoz
RND
Deaton
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Munoz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.2L5.5L4.5W2020-082021-042023-07
WinLossTrend

Deaton · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0103.5L5.5L2023-022023-07
WinLossTrend

Munoz · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Carl DeatonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Luis PenaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

Deaton · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Alexander MunozRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Joe SoleckiRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

News & Media

Alexander Munoz · Carl Deaton
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