UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Melbourne, Australia
5 Oct 2019
Welterweight
VS
34%
Potter
66%
Pitolo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pitolo
Pitolo holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Potter has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pitolo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Striking split: Pitolo throws more volume but Potter connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Potter's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pitolo has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Potter
Pitolo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Potter
Pitolo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.7
21.1
28.3
Performance Avg
39.7
25
Quality of Victory
55
40
Momentum Score
0
Potter
Pitolo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Potter
Pitolo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Potter
Pitolo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Potter
Pitolo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Potter
Pitolo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Potter
Pitolo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
PotterPitolo
Strike Zones
Potter
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPitolo
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Potter targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pitolo absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pitolo targets the head (57% of attacks) — Potter absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Potter
RND
Pitolo
0/0R00/0
Potter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Pitolo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Potter · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Song KenanRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Maki PitoloRating 4.5Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
Pitolo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dusko TodorovicRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · Sub · R3
Julian MarquezRating 4.5Submission
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Impa KasanganayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Sub · R1
Darren StewartRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R2
Charles ByrdRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06