UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Las Vegas, USA
15 Aug 2020
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Dodson
73%
Dvalishvili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JD
John Dodson
"The Magician"
22 – 12
5'3"66" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
Merab
Merab Dvalishvili
"The Machine"
21 – 5
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dvalishvili

Dvalishvili is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dodson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Dvalishvili has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Dodson
Dvalishvili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
+68"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dodson
Dvalishvili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
60.4
50.7
Performance Avg
53.2
45
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
100
Dodson
Dvalishvili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
2
Body
1
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dodson
Dvalishvili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dodson
Dvalishvili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/34 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Dodson
Dvalishvili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Dodson
Dvalishvili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
14%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dodson
Dvalishvili
Striking6.2 / 2.4Volume4.4 / 8.5Grappling1.0 / 2.6Wrestling0.7 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure5.3 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Dodson
Strike Zones
Dvalishvili
Dodson
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY4LEGS15 absorbed
Dvalishvili
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dodson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Dvalishvili absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Dvalishvili targets the head (67% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dodson
RND
Dvalishvili
0/0R00/0

Dodson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.1W4.6W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L7.0L6.3W6.8L2011-122014-062017-042020-022020-08
WinLossTrend

Dvalishvili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.7L4.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.0W6.0W6.0W5.8W6.8W6.0W7.0L2017-122020-062023-032025-102025-12
WinLossTrend

Dodson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

Dvalishvili · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 6
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

News & Media

John Dodson · Merab Dvalishvili
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