METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Dallas, USA
30 Jul 2022
Welterweight
VS
44%
Morono
56%
Semelsberger
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alex MoronowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matthew Semelsberger · UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Semelsberger
→
Actual result
Morono wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Morono at 44% vs Semelsberger at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Morono's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Semelsberger has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoronoSemelsberger
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Morono
Semelsberger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Morono
Semelsberger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
45.1
43.3
Performance Avg
41.6
35
Quality of Victory
39
20
Momentum Score
84
Morono
Semelsberger
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
4.2
6.7
Style: Volume
5.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
8
3
Body
11
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
26Distance20
3Clinch6
0Ground0
Morono
Semelsberger
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
1.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Morono
Semelsberger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Morono
Semelsberger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
84
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Morono
Semelsberger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morono
Semelsberger
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
MoronoSemelsberger
Strike Zones
Morono
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedSemelsberger
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morono targets the head (90% of attacks) — Semelsberger absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Semelsberger targets the body (42% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morono
RND
Semelsberger
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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L · Dec · R3
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