UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Bantamweight
VS
96%
Nam
4%
Rivera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:34
TN
Tyson Nam
21 – 14
5'7"68" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 40
JR
Jerome Rivera
"Renegade"
10 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide31 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nam

Nam is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nam has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.

Nam has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rivera has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nam
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nam
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.9
1.8
50.0
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Nam
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
36%
Strike Accuracy
26%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Nam
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nam
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/35 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Nam
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Nam
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nam
Rivera
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume0.8 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Nam
Strike Zones
Rivera
Nam
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Rivera
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nam targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the body (50% of attacks) — Nam absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nam
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nam · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L6.4L5.0W5.2W5.7L5.8W3.6L5.5L2019-092020-062021-012023-032023-07
WinLossTrend

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0103.0L5.5L2.3L1.5L2020-092021-012021-022021-07
WinLossTrend

Nam · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Azat MaksumRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Bruno SilvaRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · KO · R1
Ode OsbourneRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Matt SchnellRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · KO · R2
Jerome RiveraRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

Rivera · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Zhalgas ZhumagulovRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Ode OsbourneRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Francisco FigueiredoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Tyson NamRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

News & Media

Tyson Nam · Jerome Rivera
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