UFC 70: Nations Collide
Manchester, United Kingdom
21 Apr 2007
Welterweight
VS
89%
Taylor
11%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Taylor
Taylor is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Taylor has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Taylor has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Oliveira has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Taylor
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Taylor
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.4
1.6
41.0
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
10
Momentum Score
0
Taylor
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
30%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Taylor
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Taylor
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/44 fights
Taylor
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Taylor
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Taylor
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TaylorOliveira
Strike Zones
Taylor
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Taylor targets the head (71% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Taylor absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Taylor
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Taylor · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Taylor · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Gabe RuedigerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
John HathawayRating 5.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10
Oliveira · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Luke CummoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
L · KO · R3
Paul TaylorRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04