UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
Macau, China
1 Mar 2014
Featherweight
VS
32%
Hioki
68%
Menjivar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
IM
CFR 19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Menjivar
Menjivar holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Hioki has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Menjivar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Menjivar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hioki's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hioki
Menjivar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
73"+
Reach
64"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hioki
Menjivar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.0
19.2
30.0
Performance Avg
46.7
25
Quality of Victory
48
10
Momentum Score
64
Hioki
Menjivar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
36%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
6
Body
4
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance10
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Hioki
Menjivar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hioki
Menjivar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/39 fights
Chin rating based on
9/37 fights
Hioki
Menjivar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hioki
Menjivar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hioki
Menjivar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
HiokiMenjivar
Strike Zones
Hioki
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMenjivar
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hioki targets the head (53% of attacks) — Menjivar absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Menjivar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hioki absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hioki
RND
Menjivar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hioki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Menjivar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hioki · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
Menjivar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hatsu HiokiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
L · Sub · R1
Urijah FaberRating 1.5Submission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Azamat GashimovRating 5Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07