UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Middleweight
VS
6%
Arroyo
94%
Muniz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Muniz
Muniz is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Muniz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Striking split: Muniz throws more volume but Arroyo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Muniz has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Arroyo
Muniz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+78"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Arroyo
Muniz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.3
53.7
0.0
Performance Avg
47.7
0
Quality of Victory
40
0
Momentum Score
92
Arroyo
Muniz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Arroyo
Muniz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arroyo
Muniz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
22
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
10/32 fights
Arroyo
Muniz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
92
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Arroyo
Muniz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arroyo
Muniz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
ArroyoMuniz
Strike Zones
Arroyo
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMuniz
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arroyo targets the head (80% of attacks) — Muniz absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Muniz targets the body (100% of attacks) — Arroyo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arroyo
RND
Muniz
0/0R00/0
Arroyo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Muniz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Arroyo · Last 3
L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Deron WinnRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
Muniz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02