UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier
Fairfax, USA
15 May 2012
Middleweight
VS
47%
MacDonald
53%
Lawlor
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:50
JM
Jason MacDonald
"The Athlete"
25 – 16
6'3"80" reachOrthodox50 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 17
TL
Tom Lawlor
"Filthy"
10 – 6
Well-Rounded43 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lawlor

This is a genuine toss-up — MacDonald at 47% vs Lawlor at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

MacDonald has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

MacDonald's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

MacDonald
Lawlor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
74"
50
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
MacDonald
Lawlor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
19.8
48.8
Performance Avg
48.7
53
Quality of Victory
45
52
Momentum Score
75
MacDonald
Lawlor
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground1
MacDonald
Lawlor
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
MacDonald
Lawlor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/41 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
MacDonald
Lawlor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
MacDonald
Lawlor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

MacDonald
Lawlor
Striking4.2 / 4.4Volume0.9 / 3.8Grappling5.3 / 3.5Wrestling3.7 / 2.4Submission6.7 / 3.3Pressure8.3 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
MacDonald
Strike Zones
Lawlor
MacDonald
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Lawlor
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lawlor absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lawlor targets the head (100% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

MacDonald
RND
Lawlor
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

MacDonald · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0105.2W5.2W2.8L5.2W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.2W1.5L1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L1.5L2006-102007-102008-122011-092012-05
WinLossTrend

Lawlor · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.3L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W5.5L2008-122010-052012-052015-072016-03
WinLossTrend

MacDonald · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 5
Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

Lawlor · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Michael KuiperRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis CarmontRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05

News & Media

Jason MacDonald · Tom Lawlor
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