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UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Lightweight
VS
44%
Fiziev
56%
Ruffy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:30
Rafael
Rafael Fiziev
"Ataman"
135
5'8"71" reachSwitch33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Mauricio
Mauricio Ruffy
132
Knockout Artist30 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 69
★ Official Result
Mauricio RuffywinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:30
def. Rafael Fiziev · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ruffy
Actual result
Ruffy wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Fiziev at 44% vs Ruffy at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ruffy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Ruffy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Fiziev's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FizievRuffy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Fiziev
Ruffy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+75"
33
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Fiziev
Ruffy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
68.7
45.6
Performance Avg
62.0
37
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
87
Fiziev
Ruffy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.8
56%
Strike Accuracy
57%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
32
8
Body
2
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance24
0Clinch1
0Ground12
Fiziev
Ruffy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fiziev
Ruffy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
13/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Fiziev
Ruffy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
87
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Fiziev
Ruffy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
75%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fiziev
Ruffy
Striking5.5 / 9.1Volume5.7 / 3.6Grappling1.4 / 0.6Wrestling1.0 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Fiziev
Strike Zones
Ruffy
Fiziev
Attacking
7HEAD8BODY5LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD2BODY3LEGS37 absorbed
Ruffy
Attacking
32HEAD2BODY3LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD8BODY5LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fiziev targets the body (40% of attacks) — Ruffy absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Ruffy targets the head (86% of attacks) — Fiziev absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fiziev
RND
Ruffy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Fiziev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0101.5L4.5W4.6W5.8W5.2W5.5W5.7W7.1L3.2L7.1L5.8W4.4L2019-042020-122022-072025-032026-01
WinLossTrend

Ruffy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.2W4.5W5.7W4.5L6.2W2024-052024-112025-032025-092026-01
WinLossTrend

Fiziev · Last 5

Upcoming
Manuel Torres
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Mauricio RuffyRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09

Ruffy · Last 5

Upcoming
Michael Chandler
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Rafael FizievRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
King GreenRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
James LlontopRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

News & Media

Rafael Fiziev · Mauricio Ruffy
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