METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Lightweight
VS
45%
Fiziev
55%
Ruffy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:30
★ Official Result
Mauricio RuffywinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:30
def. Rafael Fiziev · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ruffy
→
Actual result
Ruffy wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fiziev at 45% vs Ruffy at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ruffy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Fiziev's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FizievRuffy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fiziev
Ruffy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+75"
33
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Fiziev
Ruffy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.9
70.9
49.0
Performance Avg
64.5
41
Quality of Victory
52
100
Momentum Score
88
Fiziev
Ruffy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
9.7
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
8.1
5.2
Style: Volume
3.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
32
8
Body
2
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance24
0Clinch1
0Ground12
Fiziev
Ruffy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fiziev
Ruffy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Fiziev
Ruffy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
88
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Fiziev
Ruffy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fiziev
Ruffy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
FizievRuffy
Strike Zones
Fiziev
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedRuffy
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fiziev targets the body (40% of attacks) — Ruffy absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Ruffy targets the head (86% of attacks) — Fiziev absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fiziev
RND
Ruffy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fiziev · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Mauricio RuffyKO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Justin GaethjeDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
Ruffy · Last 5
Upcoming
Arman TsarukyanUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Michael ChandlerKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Rafael FizievKO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Benoit Saint DenisSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03