UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Lightweight
VS
28%
Lauzon
72%
Pearce
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pearce
Pearce is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pearce has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pearce has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lauzon
Pearce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lauzon
Pearce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
44.8
51.5
Performance Avg
47.4
49
Quality of Victory
42
59
Momentum Score
56
Lauzon
Pearce
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
4
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance8
1Clinch0
15Ground0
Lauzon
Pearce
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Pearce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Lauzon
Pearce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
56
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Lauzon
Pearce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lauzon
Pearce
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
LauzonPearce
Strike Zones
Lauzon
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedPearce
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (96% of attacks) — Pearce absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Pearce targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lauzon
RND
Pearce
0/0R00/0
Lauzon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Pearce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lauzon · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Pearce · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Joanderson BritoRating 4.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07