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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Lightweight
VS
28%
Lauzon
72%
Pearce
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:33
JL
Joe Lauzon
2816
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
Jonathan
Jonathan Pearce
"JSP"
147
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsSwitch71" reach6'0"
CFR 45
★ Official Result
Joe LauzonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:33
def. Jonathan Pearce · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pearce
Actual result
Lauzon wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Pearce is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pearce has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pearce has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LauzonPearce
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Lauzon
Pearce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lauzon
Pearce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
44.8
51.5
Performance Avg
47.4
49
Quality of Victory
42
59
Momentum Score
56
Lauzon
Pearce
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
4
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance8
1Clinch0
15Ground0
Lauzon
Pearce
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Pearce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Lauzon
Pearce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
56
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Lauzon
Pearce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lauzon
Pearce
Striking4.4 / 5.1Volume2.2 / 4.3Grappling4.0 / 2.6Wrestling2.8 / 1.8Submission4.7 / 2.0Pressure7.3 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Lauzon
Strike Zones
Pearce
Lauzon
Attacking
24HEAD1BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Pearce
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD1BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (96% of attacks) — Pearce absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Pearce targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lauzon
RND
Pearce
0/0R00/0

Lauzon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.8W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W5.9L5.6L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.9L4.5W5.5L2.0L2.8L5.5W2006-092010-082013-082016-082019-10
WinLossTrend

Pearce · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L5.4W5.2W5.1W5.3W5.0W4.3L6.3L2.5L2019-102022-022023-112024-10
WinLossTrend

Lauzon · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Pearce · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Joanderson BritoRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

News & Media

Joe Lauzon · Jonathan Pearce
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