UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Flyweight
VS
49%
Schnell
51%
Nam
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Matt
Matt Schnell
"Danger"
17 – 10
5'8"70" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 38
TN
Tyson Nam
21 – 14
Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nam

This is a genuine toss-up — Schnell at 49% vs Nam at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Nam has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Schnell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Schnell's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Schnell
Nam
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
68"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schnell
Nam
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.1
39.9
40.7
Performance Avg
50.0
37
Quality of Victory
58
45
Momentum Score
33
Schnell
Nam
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
13
4
Body
4
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
31Distance22
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Schnell
Nam
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Schnell
Nam
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/27 fights
Chin rating based on
8/35 fights
Schnell
Nam
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Schnell
Nam
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Schnell
Nam
Striking0.9 / 10.0Volume5.5 / 0.8Grappling4.8 / 0.0Wrestling3.4 / 0.0Submission4.3 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 8.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Schnell
Strike Zones
Nam
Schnell
Attacking
28HEAD4BODY1LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY5LEGS22 absorbed
Nam
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY5LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD4BODY1LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Schnell targets the head (85% of attacks) — Nam absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Nam targets the head (59% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Schnell
RND
Nam
0/0R00/0

Schnell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0102.7L1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L4.7W2.3L5.9W2.9L3.3L2.9L5.0W3.5L2016-122019-032022-052024-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Nam · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L6.4L5.0W5.2W5.7L5.8W3.6L5.5L2019-092020-062021-012023-032023-07
WinLossTrend

Schnell · Last 5

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Nam · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Azat MaksumRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Bruno SilvaRating 3.6
Submission
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W · KO · R1
Ode OsbourneRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Matt SchnellRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · KO · R2
Jerome RiveraRating 5.2
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Matt Schnell · Tyson Nam
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