UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Ishihara
48%
Quinonez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ishihara
This is a genuine toss-up — Ishihara at 52% vs Quinonez at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ishihara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Quinonez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ishihara's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Quinonez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ishihara
Quinonez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
69"
Reach
69"
34+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Ishihara
Quinonez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
13.2
43.0
Performance Avg
40.7
47
Quality of Victory
31
13
Momentum Score
38
Ishihara
Quinonez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
1
Body
1
13
Leg
13
RangeRange
16Distance20
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Ishihara
Quinonez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ishihara
Quinonez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
42
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
9/14 fights
Ishihara
Quinonez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
38
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Ishihara
Quinonez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ishihara
Quinonez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
IshiharaQuinonez
Strike Zones
Ishihara
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedQuinonez
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ishihara targets the legs (76% of attacks) — Quinonez absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Quinonez targets the legs (62% of attacks) — Ishihara absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ishihara
RND
Quinonez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ishihara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Quinonez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Ishihara · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Kyung Ho KangRating 2.4Submission
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Petr YanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose QuinonezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Rolando DyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
Quinonez · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Carlos HuachinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R2
Nathaniel WoodRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02