UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Middleweight
VS
64%
Magomedov
36%
Barriault
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magomedov
Magomedov holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Barriault has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Barriault throws more volume but Magomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Barriault has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Magomedov
Barriault
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magomedov
Barriault
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.2
35.6
54.9
Performance Avg
41.9
36
Quality of Victory
45
99
Momentum Score
13
Magomedov
Barriault
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.5
68%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
4
9
Body
0
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance5
10Clinch0
5Ground0
Magomedov
Barriault
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magomedov
Barriault
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
10
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Magomedov
Barriault
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
13
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Magomedov
Barriault
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magomedov
Barriault
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
MagomedovBarriault
Strike Zones
Magomedov
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBarriault
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the head (53% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Barriault targets the head (80% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magomedov
RND
Barriault
0/0R00/0
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Barriault · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Magomedov · Last 5
Upcoming
Michel PereiraUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R2
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
Barriault · Last 5
Upcoming
Brad TavaresUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Dustin StoltzfusRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

