UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Heavyweight
VS
27%
Overeem
73%
Arlovski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:12
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
6'4"80" reachOrthodox46 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 18
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
Well-Rounded4-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Arlovski has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Overeem
Arlovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
77"
46+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Arlovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
49.1
55.0
Performance Avg
50.5
52
Quality of Victory
47
56
Momentum Score
94
Overeem
Arlovski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
73%
Strike Accuracy
47%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Overeem
Arlovski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Overeem
Arlovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
42/58 fights
Overeem
Arlovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
94
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Overeem
Arlovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
48%
9
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Overeem
Arlovski
Striking8.7 / 5.0Volume3.2 / 5.3Grappling0.6 / 1.9Wrestling0.4 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.9Pressure7.0 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Overeem
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Overeem
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Arlovski
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (77% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Arlovski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Overeem
RND
Arlovski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

News & Media

Alistair Overeem · Andrei Arlovski
← Back to fights